Publications

Baldissera Pacchetti, Jebeile & Thompson (2024). For a Pluralism of Climate Modelling Strategies. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Early online release

The Lancet Commission on Strengthening the Use of Epidemiological Modelling of Emerging and Pandemic Infectious Diseases (2023). How modelling can better support public health policy making: the Lancet Commission on Strengthening the Use of Epidemiological Modelling of Emerging and Pandemic Infectious Diseases. The Lancet.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(23)02758-7

Pulkkinen, Undorf, Bender, Wikman-Svahn, Doblas-Reyes, Flynn, Hegerl, Jönsson, Leung, Roussos, Shepherd & Thompson (2022) The value of values in climate science. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01238-9

Katzav, Thompson, Risbey, Stainforth, Bradley, and Frisch (2021). “On the appropriate and inappropriate uses of probability distributions in climate projections, and some alternatives“, Climatic Change 169(15). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03267-x

Wilson, Guivarch, Kriegler, van Ruijven, van Vuuren, Krey, Schwanitz and Thompson (2021). “Evaluating Process-Based Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change Mitigation”, Climatic Change, 166(1), 1-22.

Frigg, Bradley, Steele, Thompson and Werndl (2020). “The Philosophy of Climate Science”, Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy (peer-reviewed).

Thompson and Fenton O’Creevy (2020). “Model-land and its phantasies threaten us all“, EmotionalFinance.net.

Faranda, Castillo, Hulme, Jezequel, Lamb, Sato and Thompson, 2020. Asymptotic estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection counts and their sensitivity to stochastic perturbation. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 30(5), p.051107.
 
Thompson and Smith (2018). “Escape from Model Land,” Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 13 (2019-40): 1-15.
 
Lowe, Arnell, Warren, Gambhir and Thompson (2017). “Avoiding dangerous climate: results from the AVOID2 programme”, Weather, 72: 340–345.
 
Bradley, Frigg, Steele, Thompson and Werndl (2017). “Die Philosophie der Klimawissenschaften”, in S. Lohse and T. Reydon (eds.): Grundriss Wissenschaftsphilosophie: Die Philosophien der Einzelwissenschaften, Hamburg: Meiner, 381-411.
 
Thompson, Frigg and Helgeson (2016). “Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation,” Philosophy of Science 83(5):1110-1121.
 
Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2016). “What are the implications of temporarily overshooting a long-term temperature goal of 2C?”. AVOID2 Policy Card A3/D2b.
 
Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2016). “How does climate impacts research make use of IPCC scenarios?”. AVOID2 Policy Card B.

Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2016). “How can we minimise negative impacts on ocean health?”. AVOID2 Policy Card E1/E2.

Frigg, Thompson and Werndl (2015). “Philosophy of Climate Science Part II: Modelling Climate Change,” Philosophy Compass 10(12):965-977.

Frigg, Thompson and Werndl (2015). “Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing Climate Change,” Philosophy Compass 10(12):953-964.

Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2015). “What contribution can mitigation of non-CO2 greenhouse gases make towards achieving long-term temperature goals?”. AVOID2 Policy Card C2b.

Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2015). “What is the scale and challenge of the energy system transition required to meet long-term climate goals?”. AVOID2 Policy Card C2a.

Thompson (2015). “Making good decisions: the role of science”. In Robison R. (Ed.), Sustainability: new questions, new answers. Global Sustainability Institute, ARU: Cambridge, UK.

Smith, Suckling, Thompson and Maynard (2015). “Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation,” Climatic Change, 132:31-45.

Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2014). “Which emissions pathways give a high probability of limiting global average warming to below 2C?’. AVOID2 COP20 Policy Card.

Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2014). “How much future damage do we avoid by limiting average warming to below 2C?”. AVOID2 COP20 Policy Card.

Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2014). “How can we decarbonise the global energy system, what technologies are needed and how much will it cost?”. AVOID2 COP20 Policy Card.

Thompson and AVOID2 co-authors (2014). “How much carbon can we emit without warming exceeding 2C?”. AVOID2 COP20 Policy Card.

Thompson (2013). “Modelling North Atlantic Storms in a Changing Climate,” PhD thesis, Imperial College, London.

Sorrell, Speirs, Bentley, Miller and Thompson (2012). “Shaping the global oil peak: A review of the evidence on field sizes, reserve growth, decline rates and depletion rates,” Energy, 37(1), 709-724.

Vernon, Thompson and Cornell (2011).  “Carbon dioxide emission scenarios: limitations of the fossil fuel resource,” Proc. Env. Sci. 6, 206-215.

Thompson (2011). “Making our actions consistent with our scientific predictions,” Weather, 66(7) 195.

Thompson (2009). Technical Reports 2 and 3, contributed to UK Energy Research Centre, (2009), Global Oil Depletion: an assessment of the evidence for near-term physical constraints on global oil supply. UKERC Technology and Policy Assessment.

Thompson and Huppert (2007). “Granular column collapses: further experimental results,” Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 575, 177-186.

Thompson (Editor) (2005). Eureka 57. The Archimedeans, Cambridge University.